Txawm hais tias rov tshwm sim dua ntawm COVID-19, kev lag luam tsis muaj zog thoob ntiaj teb rov qab los, thiab ua rau muaj kev tsis sib haum xeeb hauv cheeb tsam, Tuam Tshoj-EU ntshuam thiab xa tawm kev lag luam tseem ua tiav kev loj hlob tsis sib xws. Raws li cov ntaub ntawv tshaj tawm los ntawm General Administration of Customs tsis ntev los no, EU yog Tuam Tshoj tus thib ob loj tshaj plaws kev lag luam tus khub hauv thawj yim lub hlis. Tag nrho cov nqi lag luam ntawm Tuam Tshoj thiab EU yog 3.75 trillion yuan, ib xyoos ib zaug nce ntawm 9.5%, suav txog 13.7% ntawm Tuam Tshoj tus nqi lag luam tawm txawv teb chaws. Cov ntaub ntawv los ntawm Eurostat qhia tau hais tias nyob rau hauv thawj ib nrab ntawm lub xyoo, kev lag luam ntim ntawm 27 EU lub teb chaws nrog Tuam Tshoj yog 413.9 billion euros, ib xyoos ib zaug nce ntawm 28.3%. Ntawm lawv, EU xa tawm mus rau Tuam Tshoj yog 112.2 billion euros, nqis 0.4%; Kev xa tawm los ntawm Tuam Tshoj yog 301.7 billion euros, nce 43.3%.
Raws li kev xam phaj cov kws tshaj lij, cov ntaub ntawv no tau lees paub qhov muaj zog ntxiv thiab muaj peev xwm ntawm Tuam Tshoj-EU kev lag luam thiab kev lag luam. Txawm hais tias qhov xwm txheej thoob ntiaj teb hloov pauv li cas, kev lag luam thiab kev lag luam kev txaus siab ntawm ob tog tseem nyob sib ze. Tuam Tshoj thiab EU yuav tsum txhim kho kev ntseeg siab thiab kev sib txuas lus ntawm txhua theem, thiab ntxiv "stabilizers" rau hauv kev ruaj ntseg ntawm ob tog thiab txawm tias thoob ntiaj teb cov saw hlau. Kev lag luam ob tog yuav tsum tswj kom muaj kev loj hlob thoob plaws hauv lub xyoo.
Txij li thaum pib ntawm lub xyoo no, kev lag luam thiab kev lag luam kev koom tes ntawm Tuam Tshoj thiab EU tau pom muaj zog tiv taus thiab tseem ceeb heev. "Nyob rau hauv thawj ib nrab ntawm lub xyoo, EU txoj kev vam khom rau Tuam Tshoj tus imports tau nce." Cai Tongjuan, tus kws tshawb fawb ntawm Chongyang Institute for Financial Studies ntawm Renmin University of China thiab tus thawj coj ntawm Macro Research Department, tau tshuaj xyuas hauv kev xam phaj nrog tus neeg sau xov xwm los ntawm International Business Daily. Qhov laj thawj tseem ceeb yog EU tsis sib haum xeeb hauv Russia thiab Ukraine thiab qhov cuam tshuam ntawm kev rau txim rau Russia. Kev khiav hauj lwm tus nqi ntawm kev lag luam qis qis tau poob qis, thiab nws tau dhau los ua ntau dua ntawm kev xa khoom. Tuam Tshoj, ntawm qhov tod tes, tau tiv thaiv qhov kev sim ntawm kev sib kis, thiab cov khoom lag luam hauv tsev thiab cov saw hlau tau ua tiav thiab ua haujlwm zoo li qub. Tsis tas li ntawd, Tuam Tshoj-Tebchaws Europe freight tsheb ciav hlau kuj tau tsim rau qhov sib txawv ntawm kev thauj mus los hauv hiav txwv thiab huab cua uas yooj yim cuam tshuam los ntawm kev sib kis, ua kom tsis muaj kev cuam tshuam kev thauj mus los ntawm Tuam Tshoj thiab Europe, thiab ua rau muaj txiaj ntsig zoo rau kev lag luam kev koom tes ntawm Tuam Tshoj thiab Europe. .
Los ntawm qib micro, cov tuam txhab European xws li BMW, Audi thiab Airbus txuas ntxiv nthuav lawv cov lag luam hauv Suav teb xyoo no. Ib daim ntawv ntsuam xyuas ntawm cov phiaj xwm kev loj hlob ntawm cov tuam txhab European hauv Suav teb qhia tias 19% ntawm cov tuam txhab European hauv Suav teb tau hais tias lawv tau nthuav dav qhov ntsuas ntawm lawv cov haujlwm tsim khoom uas twb muaj lawm, thiab 65% hais tias lawv tau tswj hwm qhov ntsuas ntawm lawv cov haujlwm tsim khoom. Kev lag luam ntseeg hais tias qhov no qhia txog kev ntseeg siab ruaj khov ntawm cov tuam txhab European hauv kev nqis peev hauv Suav teb, kev rov ua haujlwm ntawm Tuam Tshoj txoj kev loj hlob ntawm kev lag luam thiab kev lag luam muaj zog hauv teb chaws uas tseem tseem nyiam cov tuam txhab European ntau lub teb chaws.
Nws yog ib qho tsim nyog sau cia tias qhov kev nce qib tsis ntev los no ntawm European Central Bank cov paj laum nce thiab kev poob qis ntawm cov nyiaj euro tuaj yeem muaj ntau yam cuam tshuam rau Tuam Tshoj-EU ntshuam thiab xa tawm. "Qhov cuam tshuam ntawm kev poob qis ntawm euro ntawm Sino-European kev lag luam tau tshwm sim nyob rau hauv Lub Xya Hli thiab Lub Yim Hli, thiab kev loj hlob ntawm Sino-European kev lag luam hauv ob lub hlis no tau poob qis dua piv nrog thawj ib nrab ntawm lub xyoo." Cai Tongjuan kwv yees tias yog tias cov nyiaj euro tseem poob qis, nws yuav ua rau "Ua hauv Tuam Tshoj" Tus nqi kim, nws yuav muaj kev cuam tshuam rau Tuam Tshoj txoj kev xa tawm mus rau EU hauv lub quarter thib plaub; Nyob rau tib lub sijhawm, kev poob qis ntawm cov nyiaj euro yuav ua rau "Ua hauv Tebchaws Europe" pheej yig, uas yuav pab txhawb Tuam Tshoj cov khoom lag luam los ntawm EU, txo EU kev lag luam tsis txaus nrog Tuam Tshoj, thiab txhawb nqa Tuam Tshoj-EU kev lag luam tau zoo dua. Saib tom ntej, nws tseem yog tus qauv dav dav rau Tuam Tshoj thiab EU kom ntxiv dag zog rau kev lag luam thiab kev lag luam kev koom tes.
Post lub sij hawm: Sep-16-2022